Palace aim for position

Last updated : 21 April 2006 By Nik Taylor

The Easter period saw everything decided in the Championship, with only positions within the play-offs left to be sorted.

Two matches of the regular season remain, but Palace's disappointing return of just five points from the last 15 seems to have ruled us out of 3rd or 4th place.

However, fans may think that's no bad thing, since it always seems to be the team in sixth place that wins through.

That's certainly true of the last couple of seasons, with West Ham and Palace both scraping into the final play-off spot on the last day of the season and then running out victorious at the Millennium Stadium a few weeks later.

But is sixth actually the luckiest play-off spot to have? Is it really better to be hanging on in the final spot, or is the truth that the higher placed teams actually do better?

Well, the stats suggest it doesn't make a whole heap of difference.

This will be the 18th season of play-offs using the current structure. In the preceding years, nine of the winning teams came from the lower half of the play-off spots. The top two spots have accounted for eight of the winners.

So, not much in it then. There is a ‘lucky' position in which to finish, but only just. It's the place that's one above the team in the last play-off place. This is normally fifth of course, but the league has messed about with the play-offs several times, so it's sometimes been sixth, sometimes fourth.

Anyway, the team finishing there has won through five times. All the other positions account for four wins each. So, it seems the play-offs really are a complete lottery.

With that in mind, we've taken a look at some of the key stats to try and shed some light on what fate awaits Palace over the next few weeks…


Coming fifth or sixth is quite good...
The most common pairing in a Championship play-off final is between the two teams that finish fifth and sixth. This has happened five times, with the sixth-placed team winning three of those contests.

But it could be the right time to come fourth...
No-one has won the play-offs after finishing fourth since Charlton back in 1997/8. For the past two seasons, the final has been won by the team finishing sixth. For the two seasons before that, it was won by the team finishing fifth. And for the two seasons before that, it was won by the team finishing third. Could this year be the start of the fourth-placed team's run?

History is against Preston...
Only three teams have made it to the final after being defeated there the year before. They were West Ham, Palace and Leicester (twice). However, out of those four matches, the previously defeated team has won through on three occasions. So if the Lilywhites do make it to Cardiff, they'll be the ones to watch.

History is against Preston, still...
The Lancashire side has contested six sets of play-offs in various divisions. They haven't won any of them.

Leeds were in the first ever play-offs...
But they haven't been in them since. The Yorkshiremen got through to the final of the first ever set of play-offs in 1986/7, when the old format existed where one team from the division above were also involved. That side was Charlton, and they beat Billy Bremner's Leeds side 2-1 in a replay to preserve their top-flight status.

Put your money on the final finishing 1-0...
Since the play-off final became a one-off match (rather than two-legged) the most common result has been 1-0. This has been the scoreline on five out of 16 occasions. However, there have been some particularly high-scoring affairs – notably the 4-4 draw between Sunderland and Charlton in 1997/8, and the 4-3 thriller between Bolton and Reading in 1994/5.

Palace always get to the final...
The most important stat of all, and the one that every Palace fan fervently hopes will remain intact come the end of May. The Eagles have been involved in four end-of-season play-offs and made it to the final of every single one. Three of those were won (against Blackburn in 1989, Sheffield United in 1997 and West Ham in 2004). The only blot in the copybook was the last-minute defeat to Leicester in 1996.